Sunday, December 20, 2009

The 3 rules for dealing with police

Rule #1. never talk to cops.

Rule #2. See rule number 1.

Rule #3. rule 1 still in effect.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

things i did this week to take my mind off of the shitty economy

1. behaved like an assclown dicking around on Facebook. (I do that every week)

2. worked on TOP SECRET Alternate Payments system.

3. made a fish... or a monster. a fish monster. fish.

fish
monster

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

TARP shenanigans

Congress LOVES their pork. They have even used the "emergency" TARP funds to buy 7 Billion worth of Magic Beans (and Pork).

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

A.D.D. glossary of NYC temporary markets and festivals. 2009 edition

Street Fair - funnel cakes and sausage.

San Gennaro Festival - a street fair in Little Italy, nicknamed the "San Perpetuo Festival", that seemingly runs for about 8 and a half months each year. Allegedly the highest density of sausage and cannoli in the known universe for the month of September.

Holiday Markets at parks - Tibetan jackets, Himalayan salt.

artist markets,
Handmade events,
Brooklyn Flea
- hipter-ey Pow Wow of semi-Capitalist maker-sellers (ie - creative survivalism.)

"Pop up shop" - Big boxes attempting to avoid bankruptcy by cashing in on a "street" trend.

"Trunk Show" - An artist (or collective) getting out of the apartment for the day: taking a break from Hulu.com by hanging out at a friend's store and drinking alcohol.

Monday, December 7, 2009

cheap oil forever

Seriously, thats what is reported in an article at CNN Money.
"The world will never run out of oil"... Deutsche Bank analysts
They say efficiencies are increasing and that oil will average $65 a barrel in 2010.

2010 will definitely be an interesting year to see how all the various analyss play out regarding housing prices (40% drop), unemployment (11% or 13%) and oil (spiking or stable).

Feel lucky. Well do you punk?

Friday, December 4, 2009

thw winds of Change, REO brooklyn

In sort of a BAD part of town (Brownsville/Ocean Hill), this "TLC" property was listed at $599,000 just as little while ago


Confucius say: you can't polish a turd


It just landed on Trulia.com as a Bank-owned foreclosure, "Buyer Assumes All Hpd/Aep Violations And Penalties" charmer listing at $299,000.

again... that's an asking price dropping from around $600K to $300K.

Holy Crap.

What a difference a day makes.
_____________________
UPDATE April 4, 2010
at $289,900 ... no takers

the Estate Tax is expiring. Long Live the Estate Tax

Lawmakers are working on what new form it will take.
Most Republicans advocate for the lowest estate tax possible, but Democrats "are not of one mind on this," said Clint Stretch, managing principal of tax policy at Deloitte Tax.
"not of one mind on this"

That sort of describes the Dems on any issue. The kinder. gentler way of saying, "can't get their shit together on anything".

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

the brutal part of this ongoing flogging has not yet begun

Are you happy about the rise in home prices that have occurred in some places these past few months?

Well...

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com in a Reuter's interview said, "Home prices, as measured by the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, will trough in the third quarter of 2010 after declining 38 percent"

here are some other stats he was spouting:
"about 25 percent of single-family homes with mortgages have negative equity"

"7.5 million foreclosure sales will have taken place between 2006 and 2011. The majority of these sales, however, have not emerged yet, with 4.8 million foreclosure sales expected between 2009 and 2011"

"Foreclosure sales will increase, and home prices will resume their decline by early 2010 as mortgage servicers figure out who will not qualify for a modification"
oy.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

The Recovery in Zero Sum terms

The idea is simple: 70% of the U.S. economy is consumer spending.

The question is: On what will the consumer spend that money?

Gasoline to power our vehicles is one big expense. It is said that oil moving beyond 100 dollars per barrel can hamper recovery. Some say $80 per barrel is a danger sign, and that we were able to absorb the earlier (pre collapse) increase by using home equity like a bank account.

So with home equity annihilated, that gives us less of a margin.

$80 a barrel is that threshold according to Steven Kopits, managing director at energy market forecaster Douglas-Westwood in New York.

As of right now (November, Wednesday 18 2009 - 11:27:23) , oil is.....


tick friggin tock.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

the cure for cancer

...possibly hidden in the vast depths of the Amazon jungle?

i don't think so.

stop eating so much garbage, cut down on your meat consumption. There's your friggin cure.

No Magic Bullet.

Friday, November 13, 2009

in blows the perfect storm

from CNN Money: double dip warning signs

A quick synopsis of these "things that could throw us back into recession".
1. If job losses continue deep into 2010.
2. Flat 2009 Christmas retail sales.
3. Oil in 2010 blasting through $100/barrel threshold.
4. Another year of weak auto sales.
5. Further foreclosures and further downward momentum on home prices.
6. another Bear Market... 20% price drop.

We're in recovery mode, but it's a shaky, fragile thing that can be taken down like a house of cards.

And Big Daddy has already shot his load.