A.D.D. glossary of NYC temporary markets and festivals. 2009 edition

Street Fair - funnel cakes and sausage.

San Gennaro Festival - a street fair in Little Italy, nicknamed the "San Perpetuo Festival", that seemingly runs for about 8 and a half months each year. Allegedly the highest density of sausage and cannoli in the known universe for the month of September.

Holiday Markets at parks - Tibetan jackets, Himalayan salt.

artist markets,
Handmade events,
Brooklyn Flea - hipter-ey Pow Wow of semi-Capitalist maker-sellers (ie - creative survivalism.)

"Pop up shop" - Big boxes attempting to avoid bankruptcy by cashing in on a "street" trend.

"Trunk Show" - An artist (or collective) getting out of the apartment for the day: taking a break from Hulu.com by hanging out at a friend's store and drinking alcohol.

cheap oil forever

Seriously, thats what is reported in an article at CNN Money.

"The world will never run out of oil"... Deutsche Bank analysts

They say efficiencies are increasing and that oil will average $65 a barrel in 2010.

2010 will definitely be an interesting year to see how all the various analyss play out regarding housing prices (40% drop), unemployment (11% or 13%) and oil (spiking or stable).

Feel lucky. Well do you punk?

thw winds of Change, REO brooklyn

In sort of a BAD part of town (Brownsville/Ocean Hill), this "TLC" property was listed at $599,000 just as little while ago


Confucius say: you can't polish a turd

It just landed on Trulia.com as a Bank-owned foreclosure, "Buyer Assumes All Hpd/Aep Violations And Penalties" charmer listing at $299,000.

again... that's an asking price dropping from around $600K to $300K.

Holy Crap.

What a difference a day makes.
_____________________
UPDATE April 4, 2010
at $289,900 ... no takers

the Estate Tax is expiring. Long Live the Estate Tax

Lawmakers are working on what new form it will take.

Most Republicans advocate for the lowest estate tax possible, but Democrats "are not of one mind on this," said Clint Stretch, managing principal of tax policy at Deloitte Tax.

"not of one mind on this"

That sort of describes the Dems on any issue. The kinder. gentler way of saying, "can't get their shit together on anything".

the brutal part of this ongoing flogging has not yet begun

Are you happy about the rise in home prices that have occurred in some places these past few months?

Well...

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com in a Reuter's interview said, "Home prices, as measured by the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, will trough in the third quarter of 2010 after declining 38 percent"

here are some other stats he was spouting:

"about 25 percent of single-family homes with mortgages have negative equity"

"7.5 million foreclosure sales will have taken place between 2006 and 2011. The majority of these sales, however, have not emerged yet, with 4.8 million foreclosure sales expected between 2009 and 2011"

"Foreclosure sales will increase, and home prices will resume their decline by early 2010 as mortgage servicers figure out who will not qualify for a modification"

oy.

mm hm

The Recovery in Zero Sum terms

The idea is simple: 70% of the U.S. economy is consumer spending.

The question is: On what will the consumer spend that money?

Gasoline to power our vehicles is one big expense. It is said that oil moving beyond 100 dollars per barrel can hamper recovery. Some say $80 per barrel is a danger sign, and that we were able to absorb the earlier (pre collapse) increase by using home equity like a bank account.

So with home equity annihilated, that gives us less of a margin.

$80 a barrel is that threshold according to Steven Kopits, managing director at energy market forecaster Douglas-Westwood in New York.

As of right now (November, Wednesday 18 2009 - 11:27:23) , oil is.....


tick friggin tock.

the cure for cancer

...possibly hidden in the vast depths of the Amazon jungle?

i don't think so.

stop eating so much garbage, cut down on your meat consumption. There's your friggin cure.

No Magic Bullet.

in blows the perfect storm

from CNN Money: double dip warning signs

A quick synopsis of these "things that could throw us back into recession".
1. If job losses continue deep into 2010.
2. Flat 2009 Christmas retail sales.
3. Oil in 2010 blasting through $100/barrel threshold.
4. Another year of weak auto sales.
5. Further foreclosures and further downward momentum on home prices.
6. another Bear Market... 20% price drop.

We're in recovery mode, but it's a shaky, fragile thing that can be taken down like a house of cards.

And Big Daddy has already shot his load.

unemployment rising

I got nothing snarky to add. This is all pretty clear.

Below is a comment from a post at the James Pethokoukis blog at Reuters - 12 reasons unemployment is going to (at least) 12 percent

I’ve had businesses for 30 years.

This is all very simple. Businesspeople are not stupid. They aren’t hiring because:

1. They don’t know what tax increases are coming.

2. They don’t know what new burdensome regulations are coming.

3. They don’t know what changes to the health care system are coming, and if perhaps they will be responsible for everyone’s COBRA or similar for years.

4. They don’t know if it will be harder to fire people in the future.

5. They don’t know if every employee will be allowed to join a union, increasing costs and headaches.

6. They don’t know what new procedures will be invented to upend the bond markets completely, overturning centuries of settled law.

7. They don’t know if Washington will unilaterally cut their compensation.

8. They don’t know if cap-and-trade will double their energy costs.

And on and on and on and on and on and on and on.

I can’t imagine hiring anyone until all this nonsense shakes out. I wouldn’t be surprised to see unemployment above 13%.

I can hold off generating taxable activity a lot longer than Democrats can retain Congress, that’s for damn sure.
- Posted by Chester White

mysterious correlation-ey

I was looking at New York Times interactive maps and spotted, what appears to my eyes, a high correlation between murder density and those who voted against Bloomberg.

What do you see? Clear as day, right?

Where the murder clusters, votes AGAINST Bloomberg clusters also.

click for nytimes interactive Homicide map (might require free registration to view)


click for nytimes interactive '09 Voting Results map (might require free registration to view)

this Market will never ever ever again crash. NEVER

speculate, confiscate, sell.
one millisecond at a time.
yeah baby yeah!!!

volatility much?

Gold is off the charts. Safe haven during during a Democrat Tax-n-Spend dollar-weakening frenzy?

Dollar weakening means U.S. manufactured goods will have more international appeal and interest rates will stay low... so equities are holding.

Joblessness and discontent are still rising and will continue that trend. Currently: 10.2% official "adjusted", 17% actual.

2010 = Bye bye Dems
2012 = Hello Reaganomics II